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A Temperature Prediction Model for Solar Cell Panels

Researchers from the Center for Solar Energy Research and Applications of the Middle East University of Technology (METU) in Türkiye and Texas A&M University in the United States proposed a transient thermal model to predict the temperature of photovoltaic modules based on hourly meteorological data, module parameters and location information.

In the paper on dynamic thermal simulation of photovoltaic module performance and the impact of thermal capacity on module temperature published in "Thermal Case Study", the proposed method also includes the thermal capacity of photovoltaic modules, which is usually not provided by manufacturers as a parameter for temperature prediction. Heat capacity refers to the amount of heat required to raise the mass temperature of a substance by one degree Celsius.

Researchers conducted sensitivity analysis based on a series of heat capacity values to evaluate the impact of temperature changes on the performance of photovoltaic modules in a semi arid continental climate with hot and dry summers. In June, the method was tested on METU's outdoor module testing platform for a period of 5 days. Meteorological data also includes wind speed and direction.

Scholars explain that "thermal models perform better on cloudy days with smaller deviations. The most obvious deviation occurs at noon on sunny days

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