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Globally, there is no shortage of financially strong "number one players" in the field of solid-state lithium batteries. Some securities firms have pointed out that international companies, including Toyota, Samsung SDI, Bolore, SolidPower, QuantumScape, etc., are already developing solid-state batteries, and the production timeline is mostly between 2025 and 2030.
According to the "Made in China 2025" plan, by 2025 and 2030, the energy density of individual power lithium batteries in China needs to reach 400wh/kg and 500wh/kg, respectively. To achieve this goal, it is necessary to take the path of solid-state lithium batteries. "Mei Xinyi told Time Weekly reporters that based on the overall industry trend, leading companies such as CATL (300750. SZ) and Ganfeng Lithium Industry (002460. SZ) are all moving towards this technological direction, Especially since the new energy wave this year, the continuous influx of capital hot money has accelerated the development of the industry.
Mei Xinyi pointed out that the United States is currently the most mature solid-state lithium battery technology, followed closely by Japanese and Korean manufacturers. In fact, before this wave (referring to the new energy wave) this year, China was not able to claim leadership, but now at least it can be said that the progress in China is faster and can catch up in a few years, "he said.
Due to poor fast charging performance, high interface impedance, and cost, solid-state lithium batteries currently do not have a competitive advantage in the industry. According to the research report of Industrial Securities, battery energy storage and hydrogen energy represented by solid-state batteries, sodium ion batteries, and lithium-air batteries will be the future energy storage entities. The ultimate development level of solid-state lithium batteries depends not only on technology, but also on market acceptance and industrial manufacturing costs.
The future has a market potential of trillions of dollars, "Mei Xinyi told Time Weekly. The current manufacturing cost of solid-state lithium batteries is too high, the technology is not mature enough, and the commercialization process still needs to be tested by the market.
In addition to an imperfect supply chain system, there are also material issues that lead to the high cost of solid-state lithium batteries. To produce good electrolytes, many materials may be brand new, "Mei Xinyi told Times Weekly. During the laboratory research phase, we can sometimes invest relatively recklessly to explore ideal experimental results. But in the stage of industrial mass production, all links need to be reshaped, and the costs of each link must be strictly controlled.
According to Shenwan Hongyuan Research Report, 2022 may be the first year of accelerated penetration of solid-state batteries, and the global market space is expected to reach 150 billion yuan by 2030.
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