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High quality lithium hydroxide is an excellent breakthrough in entering the high-end supply chain overseas. The "cake" orders from 2016 to 2020 exceeded expectations, causing global supply shortages and high overseas prices. (1) Different "battlefields": Compared to lithium carbonate, battery grade lithium hydroxide is important for "high nickel" ternary materials such as NCA and NCM811, as well as lithium iron phosphate in some processes. (2) High end production is in short supply: FMC, ALB, and SQM respectively have production capacity of 10000 tons, 5000 tons, and 6000 tons of lithium hydroxide; Although FMC is impeccable in terms of product quality and customer reputation, BessemerCity's production line in the United States has become outdated, and the planned expansion of 20000 tons in the third phase lacks support for self-produced brine and basic lithium carbonate, which needs to be purchased from third parties; ALB has a production capacity of 5000 tons at KingsMountain in the United States, but not all are battery grade; SQM has a production capacity of 6000 tons in SalardelCarmen, Chile, and its sales are hot, but the important ones are technical and industrial grade. Overall, the expansion of FMC production remains to be observed, and ALB and SQM have not yet launched substantial plans for lithium hydroxide expansion. (3) Demand exceeds expectations and urgently requires our country's strength. At the same time, on the demand side, Japan and South Korea's leading battery factories have significantly exceeded supplier expectations for lithium hydroxide demand from 2016 to 2020; Given the uncertainty of Big3's production elasticity, the market urgently needs the participation of Chinese forces; Ganfeng will build a new 20000 tons of lithium hydroxide, with a total annual production capacity of 30-32000 tons. Combined with MtMarion's mining, it is expected to play an important role in the global supply system from 2017 to 2020.
Argentina has become a paradise for investment in lithium resources and other minerals, and the prospect of the Mariana brine mine project is worth looking forward to. Thanks to the new government's liberalization of financial capital and exchange rate markets, Argentina has once again become a paradise for mining investment; Coupled with the local government's emphasis on lithium resources, the development of lithium rich salt lakes in Argentina is expected to enter a golden period, and even have a great potential to catch up with Chile (2020-2025); In this context, we believe that the company's continued exploration investment in Mariana Salt Lake (currently 80% controlled), in collaboration with the international lithium industry, undoubtedly has strategic value in the long run.
Tianci Material: Performance increase, net profit attributable to the parent company expected to increase by 5.5 times year-on-year
Event: On July 14, 2016, the company announced a revised notice for the 2016 semi annual performance forecast. It is expected that the net profit attributable to the parent company will be increased from 540% to 560% from January to June 2016, with an activation range of 187 to 194 million yuan.
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