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The production and sales of new energy vehicles exceeded market expectations, with an optimistic forecast of 1.2 million units in 2017. According to statistics from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, from January to October 2015, a total of 206900 new energy vehicles were produced, a three fold increase compared to the same period last year. Among them, 87100 pure electric passenger cars were produced, a 3-fold increase compared to the same period last year, and 45500 plug-in hybrid passenger cars were produced, a 3-fold increase compared to the same period last year; 59300 pure electric commercial vehicles were produced, a 9-fold increase year-on-year; 15000 plug-in hybrid commercial vehicles were produced, an increase of 88% year-on-year. It is expected that the number of new energy vehicles will reach 300000 by 2015, exceeding market expectations. Against the backdrop of increasing macroeconomic downward pressure, new energy vehicles, as an important lever for stabilizing the rise, are expected to continue to benefit. Supporting policies are expected to extend to other areas of the new energy vehicle industry chain and further promote the development of new energy vehicles. We optimistically predict that the production of new energy vehicles in 2016 and 2017 will be 700000 and 1.2 million, with an increase rate of 133% and 71%, respectively. In terms of segmented fields, the proportion of pure electric vehicles will gradually increase, and the usage of lithium batteries will also increase correspondingly. We expect that the usage of lithium batteries in the electric vehicle field will exceed 180Gwh in 2017.

Driven by high business cycles, power lithium battery materials are far from reaching the ceiling. The technical barriers to lithium hexafluorophosphate are high, the production process requirements are very strict, and the expansion cycle is long. Currently, the average transaction price is 170000 yuan/ton. In 2016, the market for lithium hexafluorophosphate will continue to be tense, and with the gradual release of production, it will be initially alleviated in 2017; In the field of pure electric passenger vehicles, there is a high degree of certainty that ternary materials will replace lithium iron phosphate as the mainstream positive electrode material for power lithium-ion batteries. Only a few positive electrode material companies in China, such as Dangsheng Technology, have high nickel type NCM622 production. It is expected that the penetration rate of ternary materials will reach 20% in 2017. According to the calculation of 1.3kg ternary materials per 1kWh, the demand for ternary materials is expected to reach 62000 tons in 2017, with a huge gap in the rigidity of ternary materials; With the rapid increase in the proportion of ternary batteries, the demand for wet coated separators will greatly increase. However, with high barriers to separator technology, slow expansion cycles, and slow release of effective production, high-end wet coated separators will be relatively scarce. Overall, with the rapid increase in sales of new energy vehicles and the continuous expansion of the rigid gap in power lithium battery materials, China's lithium battery materials have entered a golden period of development.

Original Title: Lithium Battery: Lithium Battery Materials Entering the Golden Age Recommended 5 Stocks

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