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The adjustment of subsidy policies is having an impact on the entire industrial chain. The price competition is becoming increasingly fierce, and the technical indicators proposed by subsidies have put forward hard indicators for energy density and battery cost. Under multiple factors, the competitive advantage of leading battery companies will be more obvious, the industry will move from decentralization to concentration, and the connection between batteries and car companies will also be closer.
Industry gathering towards leading enterprises
Driven by the rapid development of the new energy vehicle industry, the domestic power lithium battery industry has formed a first tier team represented by CATL and BYD (002594. SZ/01211. HK), as well as a second tier team represented by companies such as Guoxuan High Tech, Shenzhen Bicke, Tianjin Lishen, and Wanxiang A123. The market is rapidly gathering towards the forefront. In 2016, the top two giants accounted for nearly 50% of the market, while the top ten companies accounted for nearly 80% of the market.
In the more severe competitive situation, higher requirements have been put forward for the company's technical capabilities, manufacturing level, and financial reserves. The trend of the market gathering towards leading companies will continue, and second and third tier companies will become increasingly difficult to survive.
Fang Jianhua predicted to Caijing that by 2020, there will only be 10 to 20 of the approximately 200 existing power lithium battery companies.
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